Is global warming an urgent danger?

The met office, who seem to have taken sides on man made global warming (in favor of because it's good for their new commercial side, even offering 'text' weather updates for 15p), have said the last two rotten summer were a 'freak event' and so nothing to do with global warming (it was colder and wetter last year). Will this years awful winter also be written off and so extracted from those global warming calculations? I just dont belive the world is going to warm up enough for any real disasters. The oceasn have risen 8ft in the last 10000 years and Brighton Beach looks no different folks!

In the 80s and 90s lots of egghead scientists and special interest groups, funded by both oil companies and the opposites, came up with contrary computer models to what would happen to the world's weather in the new millennium...as you would expect. Twenty years on and no one wants to release those grainy printouts from the old Vic 20s and ZX81s. But data is now seeping out that the doom sayers were nowhere near the numbers and the guys funding by oil companies were more accurate, disaster for the eco religion. Incredibly, the earths mean temperature has actually FALLEN in the last ten years. Admittedly the statistic that produced that fall is based on starting the ten year trend from a cool and wet year. In fact the biggest argument against this science of apparent theory (which, of course, isn't science) is the way readings are taken in gaps between decades and centuries when it suits either side's statistics to prove it either way. For instance, between 1940 and 1970 temps fell slightly around the world. But between 1988 and 1990s they rose. But the Earth was much warmer in the 12th century.

But the new millennium has seen a fall in world temps.It may be only slight but it's a fall. Is the unthinkable happening here? Could all this crap we are pumping into the atmosphere (the fumes not the science) actually be making the temp fall? Or could the earth have taken a few antacid tablets and learned how to deal with humans exhaust fumes? As the CO2 smog comes from the planet then maybe it can return to the planet, acting ass sponge?

Now don't get me wrong, we need to cut our carbon emissions, but I don't think we are going about it the right way. Scare stories of the end of the world scenario make everything too frantic and the big economies are alienated from what's needed. The recent petrol price crisis is an example of what we are heading for if we let the green lobby make too many decisions. Road pricing and tariffs on flying to Spain isn't going to keep people in employment and so the economy in the black. Putting huge green taxes on our lifestyles will just mean huge job losses, what we are expecting to see in the next unemployment figures, the highest jump since Thatcher's years. At five quid a galleon-the price Friends of the Earth were talking about in the 90s as suitable - haulers and the types of companies that have reps on the road and skilled staff that have to drive in to work are making big job cuts every day now. When you start taxing people to go to work and then tax them when they get there, then tax them on the way home with speed cameras and parking tickets then why bother working? Five million have already decided not to work under Labor and if the minimum wage becomes irrelevant because of high taxation and immigration then you make that 7 million by 2010, not quite the green future we envisaged but certainly deflationary and greener. If no ones working then non ones polluting.

But, of course, however green and clean Britain is it can't make any difference in planet emissions. The only ones interested in green policies are governments looking to raise taxes through that usual end of the world fear tactic. Notice how quiet all parties have gone on green policy during this tough economical period? Green policies damage world economies, so obviously brining down emissions. The US is the worst offenders for not trying to cut pollution but for any American President that does try to tackle it will mean huge job losses in his country, including his. Human nature is to want things and that wont change soon.

I think the recent green hype here was really all about masking the fact that we went to war in Iraq for oil, the proletariat never contemplating the unthinkable that we are indeed running low on oil, but believing the war was really about terrorism. Currently the world has just a 6% reserve in oil, the gap between pumped and known supplies able to get to the pump. Iraq has the biggest untapped reserves on the planet and the lies were the only way the west could get at it to feed our vulgar energy greed. Governments want us to think there will be and end of the world scenario through global warming but the reality is it will be catastrophic war over those finite resources that will be the disaster, and by making us believe there's no shortage of oil, the war in Iraq couldn't possibly be about oil... But now we know the truth and it's scary. Although half of all energy pollution comes from coal burning its fair to say we wont be using that much 20 years from now, alternate fuels long since increased, therefore a global meltdown from carbon fuels unlikely to happen. It's paradoxical to think business and world economies would destroy themselves by still using coal in 2040.

It's the middle-class green lobby that annoys me. I think they see 'green' as a way of off-loading their guilt over this pollution and so inadvertently pass the eventual green tax burden on to the working man, as we are seeing now with those petrol and energy prices. The Greenies are the first to moan about the war in Iraq yet refuse to encourage nuclear, the only real alternate to coal. Perish the thought if they have to have a wind farm near them to spoil the views. Where do these nimbi's think power will come from if we don't make some sort of collective sacrifice. Like the ones our forces are making in Iraq for that oil...

I had to chuckle last week because those same righteous eco types were causing huge traffic jams in Somerset to see a big "eco festival", their four-wheel-drive gas guzzlers backing up the only main road in there. Even more ironic was the 'Sunrise' event was cancelled due to 'unseasonable' rain, which they no doubt moaned about, but not part of the apparent global warning Armageddon. 'We want three days of hot sun to suit us man'. Why didn't they hold it in the winter!!! There is a proviso in the green ten commandments that man-made global warming can mean it gets wetter, although they don't explain how lots of clouds blocking out the sun can make it warmer. Lets be honest guys, if global warming eventually means warmer English summers then who's going to vote against that here?

To be honest a lot of the current world food shortage is probably to do with third world governments trying to gear up to the western worlds hype and science on seismic 'projected' global warming disaster. These poor countries are repeatedly told terrible droughts are coming and so try to make provisions, storing up their own rice and grain for their own people, which, inevitably, causes shortages and price rises on the world markets, and when the drought doesn't materialize ( hard rain knackering the extra crops planted) it leave shortages worldwide. Rather ironically, its fair-trade and organic foods, the last supper of the eco disciples, that are seeing the biggest price rises here. Now that the economy has arrived that the green lobby always wanted-high fuel prices and low waste crop yields-you just watch them desert sustainable products now we are in recession and the price is rocketing on hippy foods. Its shops like Aldi and Netto that have seen increase profits this year and so a dramatic fall in those sticking to their green product base. If they can't afford it they won't buy it, hardly amoral sacrifice. The green middle-class are no longer prepared to pay a little bit extra for fair-trade products to make them fee a little bit better than the lower orders now that the very policies they wanted are biting their asses.

The local councils, of course, are more than willing to cash in on the erroneous green agenda, bin taxes and congestion cons always on the agenda and having us rattling our fists in their direction. We have all seen these poor old boys with Alzheimer's on the news being fined £60 quid for putting the wrong piece of paper in the wrong tray or leaving their bin lids up , or those naughty borough councils deliberately putting down illegal road marking that's will generate fine revenue to feed their pension black holes, but what we are not seeing is common sense and convergence with the public to cut down on waste. I live in a nice middle-class street and the blue and green trays are lined up neatly like those coffins draped in American flags coming back from Iraq on the marked collection day. Around the corner in the council estate there is little enrollment in recycling, the tray and bins flung around amongst the soiled mattresses and old washing machines like their less revered and dead Iraqis in the war torn Baghdad streets. But we alll know who is going to be fined-those who can pay. You and me. In Peterborough the council employs private litter finers, freelance guys and girls paid £35 quid for every litter fine they hand out, the council keeping the other £20 quid from the £60 levy. How is that saving the world?

Summary: Think before you believe...